Karabağ 1-0 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +25%
2.28/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.49
+26% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +34%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.10.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 1-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
28.03.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-4 HT 1-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
26.01.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 1-2 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
01.11.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-0 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
24.08.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 0-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
17.05.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 4-3 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ squeezed past Turan Tovuz 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Karabağ and 1.33 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Turan Tovuz?

Karabağ 1-0 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 63%, draw 23%, Turan Tovuz 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ)
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