Real Madriz 1-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

Real Madriz
1-1 HT 1-1
Matagalpa
📅01/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Real Madriz vs Matagalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.73
No
38%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.9pp
38%
BTTS No
46%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madriz v Matagalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.79/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.77
-42% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +60%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Real Madriz vs Matagalpa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madriz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
06.10.2025 Real Madriz Real Madriz 1-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
27.07.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
POST-MATCH Real Madriz vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madriz and Matagalpa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Matagalpa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Madriz and 1.50 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Real Madriz vs Matagalpa?

Real Madriz 1-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madriz vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Madriz 26%, draw 30%, Matagalpa 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matagalpa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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