Export Sebaco 1-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.69/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.19
+18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
187 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
27.07.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-2 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.05.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-3 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.03.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.01.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
01.12.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco edged past Walter Ferretti 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Export Sebaco made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.83 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti?

Export Sebaco 1-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 40%, draw 26%, Walter Ferretti 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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