Walter Ferretti 1-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.64/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.16
+1% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.08.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
18.03.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-1 HT 2-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
1-0
AWAY Export Sebaco
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti nicked a narrow win over Export Sebaco 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 58% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 42%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.00 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Walter Ferretti 1-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 44%, draw 24%, Export Sebaco 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →