Walter Ferretti 2-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.60/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.20
-2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.08.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
18.03.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-1 HT 2-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
29.01.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti saw off Export Sebaco 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.17 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Walter Ferretti 2-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 45%, draw 26%, Export Sebaco 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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7 Oct 2024
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