Jalapa 1-0 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.20/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.88
-20% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY UNAN Managua
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
22.03.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
13.11.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.03.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
05.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-0 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
06.10.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-2 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa squeezed past UNAN Managua 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jalapa and 1.50 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs UNAN Managua?

Jalapa 1-0 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 42%, draw 26%, UNAN Managua 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ BTTS No
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