UNAN Managua 3-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.56/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jalapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
13.11.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.03.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
05.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-0 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
06.10.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-2 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
24.07.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 3-3 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
3-1
AWAY Jalapa
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua got the better of Jalapa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; UNAN Managua found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 48% of the ball to Jalapa's 52%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UNAN Managua and 1.17 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

UNAN Managua 3-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 39%, draw 28%, Jalapa 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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