Managua 3-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.01/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
+34% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
18.03.2024 Managua Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
21.01.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
28.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
30.07.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
27.04.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
24.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua beat Deportivo Ocotal 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Managua as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Managua had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Ocotal's 44%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Managua and 1.33 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Managua 3-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Managua 49%, draw 24%, Deportivo Ocotal 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Managua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Managua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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