Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -25%
1.31/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.04
-7% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Managua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
30.07.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
27.04.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
24.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
05.03.2023 Managua Managua 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal squeezed past Managua 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Deportivo Ocotal made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 2.33 for Managua.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua?

Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 36%, draw 27%, Managua 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Managua), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
21 Jan 2024
00:00 Jalapa vs Export Sebaco Analysis →