Jalapa vs Export Sebaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jalapa v Export Sebaco — Team-Based Signals
Jalapa vs Export Sebaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Jalapa
NİK
1-1
HT 0-1
Export Sebaco
NİK
2-0
HT 0-0
Jalapa
NİK
2-0
HT 1-0
Jalapa
NİK
1-0
HT 1-0
Jalapa
NİK
1-0
HT 1-0
Export Sebaco
NİK
Export Sebaco edged past Jalapa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Jalapa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Jalapa and 1.50 for Export Sebaco.
What was the final score of Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?
Jalapa 1-2 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 45%, draw 25%, Export Sebaco 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.