Managua 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
2.68/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.08
+37% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.01.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
28.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
30.07.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
27.04.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
24.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua squeezed past Deportivo Ocotal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Managua as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Managua and 1.50 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Managua 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Managua 50%, draw 25%, Deportivo Ocotal 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Managua), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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