Walter Ferretti 2-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.43/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.97
-13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Matagalpa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
28.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
30.07.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
28.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
13.04.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
17.02.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
2-1
AWAY Matagalpa
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 15
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti edged past Matagalpa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 43% of the ball to Matagalpa's 57%, shots finished 10-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.17 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?

Walter Ferretti 2-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 50%, draw 26%, Matagalpa 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
18 Mar 2024
01:00 Managua vs Deportivo Ocotal Analysis →
04:00 Real Esteli vs UNAN Managua Analysis →