Matagalpa 1-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.56/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.20
+14% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
30.07.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
28.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
13.04.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
17.02.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
31.10.2022 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa edged past Walter Ferretti 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Matagalpa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matagalpa and 0.67 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?

Matagalpa 1-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 38%, draw 27%, Walter Ferretti 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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