UNAN Managua 0-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
47%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
47%
Away Win
63%
-15.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 67%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
0.78/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.86
-27% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +22%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
21.04.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-1 HT 3-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
26.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
28.11.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-4 HT 1-3 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
21.08.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
14.04.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
0-2
AWAY Real Esteli
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli beat UNAN Managua 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 45% of the ball to Real Esteli's 55%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.00 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli?

UNAN Managua 0-2 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 25%, draw 27%, Real Esteli 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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