Walter Ferretti 0-1 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.63/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.54
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.08.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
18.03.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-1 HT 2-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
29.01.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
12.09.2022 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
17.07.2022 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
0-1
AWAY Export Sebaco
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco squeezed past Walter Ferretti 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 26%) promised a tight game; Export Sebaco found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 63% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 37%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.33 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Walter Ferretti 0-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 40%, draw 33%, Export Sebaco 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
19 Feb 2024
01:00 Managua vs Jalapa Analysis →
02:00 Diriangen vs Real Esteli Analysis →