Diriangen 1-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
0.71/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.08
-51% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
18.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
30.10.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
28.08.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
21.05.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
15.05.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen edged past Real Esteli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Diriangen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Diriangen and 1.00 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Diriangen 1-0 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 37%, draw 30%, Real Esteli 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Under 2.5
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