Managua 3-0 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
2.66/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.24
+36% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 0-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.08.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
20.04.2023 Managua Managua 2-3 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
02.04.2023 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.02.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
09.02.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-2 HT 0-1 Managua Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
3-0
AWAY Jalapa
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Managua vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua swept aside Jalapa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Managua as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Managua had 52% of the ball to Jalapa's 48%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Managua and 1.50 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Managua vs Jalapa?

Managua 3-0 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Managua 51%, draw 24%, Jalapa 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Managua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Managua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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