Export Sebaco 1-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.94/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.04
+41% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
01.12.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.10.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco squeezed past Walter Ferretti 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and on the day Export Sebaco made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.00 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti?

Export Sebaco 1-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 37%, draw 34%, Walter Ferretti 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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