Diriangen 3-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
2.11/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.68
+4% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Matagalpa
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-4 HT 0-3 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.10.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 4-4 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
03.08.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 6-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
08.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-3 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 5-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
08.10.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
3-1
AWAY Matagalpa
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen beat Matagalpa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Diriangen had 49% of the ball to Matagalpa's 51%, shots finished 19-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Diriangen and 1.33 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Diriangen 3-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 58%, draw 22%, Matagalpa 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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