Matagalpa 0-4 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 48%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.85
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
242 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Diriangen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 4-4 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
03.08.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 6-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
08.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-3 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 5-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
08.10.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
14.08.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen swept aside Matagalpa 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Matagalpa and 3.33 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Matagalpa 0-4 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 35%, draw 23%, Diriangen 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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