Diriangen 5-2 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
2.06/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.82
-13% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Matagalpa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
14.08.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
07.05.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
10.03.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
23.01.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-3 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.09.2022 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-3 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
5-2
AWAY Matagalpa
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen cruised past Matagalpa 5-2. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Diriangen had 56% of the ball to Matagalpa's 44%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Diriangen and 0.67 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Diriangen 5-2 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 59%, draw 21%, Matagalpa 20%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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