Export Sebaco 3-3 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -31%
1.59/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Managua
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.10.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
13.08.2023 Managua Managua 3-4 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
17.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 4-3 HT 3-1 Managua Managua NİK
20.02.2023 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
23.01.2023 Managua Managua 1-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco and Managua couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.83 for Managua.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Managua?

Export Sebaco 3-3 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 40%, draw 26%, Managua 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Export Sebaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ BTTS Yes
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