Matagalpa 4-4 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 59%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.05/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.98
-5% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Diriangen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 6-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
08.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-3 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 5-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
08.10.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
14.08.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
07.05.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa and Diriangen couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Diriangen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Matagalpa and 3.17 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Matagalpa 4-4 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 25%, draw 30%, Diriangen 45%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diriangen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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