Rancho Santana 1-3 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

Rancho Santana
1-3 HT 0-2
Real Esteli
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2024/2025

Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
51%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
12%
+8.2pp
29%
Draw
18%
+11.2pp
50%
Away Win
70%
-19.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rancho Santana v Real Esteli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 75%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.84
-100% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli beat Rancho Santana 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli?

Rancho Santana 1-3 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 20%, draw 29%, Real Esteli 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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