Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 54%
+27% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -32%
1.57/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.01
+34% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Managua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.08.2024 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
18.03.2024 Managua Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
21.01.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
28.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
30.07.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
27.04.2023 Managua Managua 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Ocotal nicked a narrow win over Managua 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Managua at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 2.00 for Managua.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua?

Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 30%, draw 28%, Managua 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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