Walter Ferretti 3-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
2.10/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.26
+17% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Export Sebaco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.10.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
28.08.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
3-0
AWAY Export Sebaco
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti ran out comfortable winners over Export Sebaco 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 40% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 60%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Walter Ferretti and 0.83 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Walter Ferretti 3-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 46%, draw 26%, Export Sebaco 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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