Rancho Santana 3-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+8.8pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-13.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 75%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.33/4.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.96
-69% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
06.10.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rancho Santana
3-2
AWAY Real Esteli
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana edged past Real Esteli 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Real Esteli carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rancho Santana had 33% of the ball to Real Esteli's 67%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rancho Santana and 4.00 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli?

Rancho Santana 3-2 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 20%, draw 22%, Real Esteli 58%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Esteli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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