Walter Ferretti 4-2 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.62/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.58
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-3 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.03.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.01.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
01.12.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.10.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
4-2
AWAY Export Sebaco
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti beat Export Sebaco 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 60% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 40%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walter Ferretti and 0.83 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Walter Ferretti 4-2 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 45%, draw 23%, Export Sebaco 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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