UNAN Managua 1-4 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 62%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.92/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.06
-25% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Diriangen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
11.08.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 4-0 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
22.04.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
03.03.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
09.11.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-2 HT 0-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
03.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-3 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
1-4
AWAY Diriangen
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen ran out comfortable winners over UNAN Managua 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 46% of the ball to Diriangen's 54%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.33 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Diriangen?

UNAN Managua 1-4 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 25%, draw 26%, Diriangen 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
27 Jul 2025
00:00 Matagalpa vs Real Madriz Analysis →
02:00 Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco Analysis →