Walter Ferretti 2-3 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
2.03/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.60
+10% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.01.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
01.12.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.10.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco edged past Walter Ferretti 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Walter Ferretti at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Walter Ferretti and 0.50 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Walter Ferretti 2-3 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 49%, draw 28%, Export Sebaco 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walter Ferretti), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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5 May 2025
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