Diriangen 2-0 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
2.16/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.62
+6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
260 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Matagalpa
4.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 3-1 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
20.01.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-4 HT 0-3 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.10.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 4-4 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
03.08.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 6-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
08.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-3 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 5-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
2-0
AWAY Matagalpa
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen beat Matagalpa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Diriangen had 52% of the ball to Matagalpa's 48%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for Diriangen and 1.50 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Diriangen 2-0 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 60%, draw 21%, Matagalpa 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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