Export Sebaco 2-1 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -28%
1.84/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.20
+31% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-2 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.05.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-3 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.03.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.01.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
01.12.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.10.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Export Sebaco
2-1
AWAY Walter Ferretti
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco edged past Walter Ferretti 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Export Sebaco had 55% of the ball to Walter Ferretti's 45%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.00 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti?

Export Sebaco 2-1 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 45%, draw 21%, Walter Ferretti 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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