Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
77%
-0.1pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.5pp
7%
Away Win
8%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 11%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
4.76/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.02
+89% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-3 HT 0-1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
1-1
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor and Arnavutköy Belediye shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor carried 77% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor had 63% of the ball to Arnavutköy Belediye's 37%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 77%, draw 16%, Arnavutköy Belediye 7%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor) ✗ BTTS No
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