Kepezspor FAŞ 1-2 Muğlaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+9.5pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
67%
Away Win
79%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Muğlaspor EU Bookmakers 84%
+78% / +78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
288 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ
1-2
AWAY Muğlaspor
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kepezspor FAŞ vs Muğlaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muğlaspor nicked a narrow win over Kepezspor FAŞ 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muğlaspor as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kepezspor FAŞ had 31% of the ball to Muğlaspor's 69%, shots finished 7-23.

What was the final score of Kepezspor FAŞ vs Muğlaspor?

Kepezspor FAŞ 1-2 Muğlaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kepezspor FAŞ vs Muğlaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muğlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kepezspor FAŞ 15%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muğlaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muğlaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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