Shandong Taishan 4-2 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
17.7
X/1
25%
3.66
X/2
7%
13.2
X/X
8%
6.6
2/1
5%
21.15
2/2
8%
9.99
2/X
4%
18.25
Value flag · 1/X at 17.7 — our 14% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.31/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.46
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.8 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.43 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
469 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-1 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
06.07.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
16.06.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
04.01.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
22.12.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
4-2
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.24 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
29 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
310 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
45 Box Touches 8
37 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan saw off Changchun YaTai 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 51% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 49%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 2.24 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.67 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Changchun YaTai?

Shandong Taishan 4-2 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 54%, draw 25%, Changchun YaTai 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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