Shanghai Port 3-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 28% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
12%
4.02
X/2 EV+ ✗
12%
10.75
X/X
15%
6.23
2/1
8%
20.45
2/2
13%
7.6
2/X
7%
15.55
Value flag · X/2 at 10.75 — our 12% vs market 6.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
59%
-16.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.8 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.19
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
428 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
12.07.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
19.06.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 2-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
3-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.47 xG 0.88
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
524 Passes 208
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
51 Box Touches 18
43 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port got the better of Wuhan Three Towns 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 68% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 32%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.47 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.00 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Shanghai Port 3-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 43%, draw 27%, Wuhan Three Towns 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Under 2.5
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