Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 2-1 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over St Patricks 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Derry City's favour, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.70 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Derry City against 0.83 for St Patricks.
Derry City vs St Patricks Result & Final Score
Derry City 2 - 1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Derry City 54%, draw 27%, St Patricks 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.