Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
St Patricks
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
St Patricks
İRK
4-1
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 0-0
St Patricks
İRL
1-1
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
0-1
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
Derry City 2-1 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over St Patricks 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Derry City had 52% of the ball to St Patricks's 48%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.70 to 0.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for St Patricks.
What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patricks?
Derry City 2-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs St Patricks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Derry City 47%, draw 29%, St Patricks 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.