Galway United 2-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

Galway United
2-1 HT 0-1
Waterford FC
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Galway United vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.04
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
23%
3.98
X/2
11%
7.72
X/X
14%
3.94
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
13%
6.68
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galway United v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
2.10/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.18
+29% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Galway United vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
11.08.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Galway United Galway United İR1
05.05.2023 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
03.03.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İR1
04.11.2022 Galway United Galway United 0-3 HT 0-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
12.08.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İR1

Galway United 2-1 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-1
AWAY Waterford FC
0.91 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
229 Passes 224
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United nicked a narrow win over Waterford FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galway United had 51% of the ball to Waterford FC's 49%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Galway United and 1.50 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Galway United 2-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Galway United 45%, draw 26%, Waterford FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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