IR Reykjavik 3-6 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.78
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
10%
+12.9pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.9pp
59%
Away Win
76%
-16.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IR Reykjavik
3-6
AWAY Valur
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur ran out comfortable winners over IR Reykjavik 6-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IR Reykjavik had 42% of the ball to Valur's 58%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Valur?

IR Reykjavik 3-6 Valur in the Iceland - League Cup on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 23%, draw 18%, Valur 59%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZLK More Iceland - League Cup
1 Mar 2024
21:15 Keflavik vs Grindavik Analysis →