Keflavik 3-3 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 1 Mar 2024

Keflavik
3-3 HT 2-2
Grindavik
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Keflavik vs Grindavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.9pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keflavik v Grindavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
3.16/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.45
+37% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Keflavik vs Grindavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Grindavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
23.07.2018 Grindavik Grindavik 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
07.05.2018 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL
14.02.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 4-2 HT 2-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
20.03.2014 Keflavik Keflavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
30.07.2012 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL
06.06.2012 Keflavik Keflavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZK
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik and Grindavik shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Keflavik at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Keflavik and 1.50 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Grindavik?

Keflavik 3-3 Grindavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 50%, draw 22%, Grindavik 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keflavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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