Bayreuth vs Illertissen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayreuth v Illertissen — Team-Based Signals
Bayreuth vs Illertissen Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Bayreuth
ALMBÖL
0-1
HT 0-0
Bayreuth
ALMBÖL
4-2
HT 2-1
Illertissen
ALMBÖL
1-4
HT 1-2
Bayreuth
ALMBÖL
Illertissen edged past Bayreuth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Illertissen made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bayreuth and 1.50 for Illertissen.
What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Illertissen?
Bayreuth 0-1 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Illertissen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 39%, draw 29%, Illertissen 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.