Eilenburg 2-1 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 53%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.36/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.11
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.09.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eilenburg
2-1
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg nicked a narrow win over Viktoria Berlin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Berlin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eilenburg had 36% of the ball to Viktoria Berlin's 64%, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Viktoria Berlin?

Eilenburg 2-1 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 25%, draw 30%, Viktoria Berlin 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ BTTS Yes
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