Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

Gimnasia La Plata
1-3 HT 0-1
Instituto Cordoba
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.65
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
13%
5.69
X/X
15%
3.46
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.69
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimnasia La Plata v Instituto Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.4 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.54 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
192 Passes 249
59% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
18.02.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
18.08.2016 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJK
19.03.2006 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
08.10.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
22.05.2005 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ

Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 Instituto Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-3
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
0.47 xG 3.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
191 Passes 231
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 38
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba saw off Gimnasia La Plata 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Instituto Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 47% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 53%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.47 to 3.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 0.17 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 39%, draw 31%, Instituto Cordoba 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
1 Mar 2024
03:15 Huracan vs Rosario Central Analysis →
03:15 Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central Analysis →