Independiente Rivadavia 1-3 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
5.92
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
9%
4.94
X/2
19%
5.72
X/X
19%
3.48
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
6%
4.6
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.9pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +140%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
233 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
Crosses 15.7
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.10.2021 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-3 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
17.06.2021 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBN
03.11.2019 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-3
AWAY Barracas Central
1.74 xG 1.56
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
284 Passes 119
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central got the better of Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Barracas Central made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 65% of the ball to Barracas Central's 35%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.74 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.67 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-3 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 38%, draw 33%, Barracas Central 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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