Amstetten 0-1 Leoben — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.39
6+ Goals
13%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.96
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
7%
8.0
X/2
13%
4.23
X/X
7%
5.06
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.46
2/X
7%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leoben EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.00/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.01
-19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leoben
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Corners 4
13.08.2023 Leoben Leoben 1-0 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amstetten
0-1
AWAY Leoben
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Leoben
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leoben nicked a narrow win over Amstetten 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leoben as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amstetten had 61% of the ball to Leoben's 39%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Leoben?

Amstetten 0-1 Leoben in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Leoben?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 28%, draw 22%, Leoben 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leoben) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leoben) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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