Grazer AK 2-2 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

Grazer AK
2-2 HT 0-1
First Vienna
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Grazer AK vs First Vienna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.51
2-3 Goals
31%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
14%
4.1
X/2
9%
8.51
X/X
12%
5.12
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
6.44
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grazer AK v First Vienna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.82/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.32
-4% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.0 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Grazer AK vs First Vienna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
3W-0D-0L
AWAY First Vienna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-3 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
10.03.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 0-2 HT 0-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
23.10.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2

Grazer AK 2-2 First Vienna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
2-2
AWAY First Vienna
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and First Vienna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grazer AK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 56% of the ball to First Vienna's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Grazer AK and 0.67 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs First Vienna?

Grazer AK 2-2 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 48%, draw 25%, First Vienna 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Grazer AK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Over 2.5
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