Ajman 2-0 Emirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒16:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.39
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Emirates EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.16/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.39
-15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +76%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
17.4 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Emirates
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.39 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2023 Emirates Emirates 4-4 HT 1-3 Ajman Ajman BAE
26.05.2022 Emirates Emirates 1-3 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
08.01.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-1 HT 0-1 Emirates Emirates BAE
02.05.2015 Ajman Ajman 2-4 HT 2-3 Emirates Emirates BAE
15.12.2014 Emirates Emirates 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
02.01.2014 Emirates Emirates 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
2-0
AWAY Emirates
2.34 xG 0.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
23 Total Shots 15
13 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
278 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Emirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman saw off Emirates 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajman as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajman had 44% of the ball to Emirates's 56%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 2.34 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajman and 1.83 for Emirates.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Emirates?

Ajman 2-0 Emirates in the UAE - League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Emirates?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajman 46%, draw 26%, Emirates 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajman) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajman) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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