Khorfakkan 0-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒16:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.17
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
28%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
5.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.2pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 70%
+14% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.02/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.69
+54% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
14.1 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.26 xG 1.79
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
226 Passes 406
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.03.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
22.10.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
26.05.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.01.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
26.02.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 4-3 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
0-3
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.14 xG 2.64
29% Ball Possession 71%
1 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
135 Passes 468
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 66
6 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai swept aside Khorfakkan 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 29% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 71%, shots finished 1-29, expected goals 0.14 to 2.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.50 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Khorfakkan 0-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 18%, draw 24%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5
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