Hillerod 4-2 FC Helsingor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.12
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.04
X/2
11%
9.99
X/X
14%
5.35
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
14%
7.49
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 23%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.90/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.48
-27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
15.3 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
1W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Helsingor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 0.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
386 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-6 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
03.03.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
10.09.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
4-2
AWAY FC Helsingor
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs FC Helsingor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod beat FC Helsingor 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hillerod had 50% of the ball to FC Helsingor's 50%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Helsingor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hillerod and 1.67 for FC Helsingor.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs FC Helsingor?

Hillerod 4-2 FC Helsingor in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs FC Helsingor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 44%, draw 28%, FC Helsingor 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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