Fasil Ketema 2-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
2-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema edged past Awassa Kenema 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fasil Ketema as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 58% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Awassa Kenema?

Fasil Ketema 2-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 51%, draw 29%, Awassa Kenema 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fasil Ketema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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